According to interviews conducted by Gallup‘s polling site, no matter how people plan on voting, Americans still believe that President Obama has a better chance for re-election.
The polling was conducted from October 27-28, before Hurricane Sandy first hit the East Coast.
Current polls show a tight race between Obama and Romney, but Americans views haven’t changed from what they were in May and August. Americans still think that Obama will beat Romney by a margin of 54 percent to 34 percent.
American’s may believe that the incumbent president has a natural advantage. During the 2004 presidential election, George W. Bush was seen as the more likely winner, and in 2008, 71 percent saw Barack Obama as the likely winner over John McCain (23 percent).
Gallup also calculated people’s partisan beliefs with who they thought would win. Not surprisingly, Democrats felt more confident in their party’s nominee. Overwhelmingly (86 percent), Democrats predicted Obama’s victory, while Republican’s thought that Mitt Romney would be the next president (71 percent)
In another interesting look into politics and the election, Gallup has looked at how accurate American’s have been in predicting who the next president will be and the results have been consistent in the last four elections. In 1996, 69 percent of Americans thought a Democrat would win. That year, Bill Clinton was the winner over Bob Dole.
During this long election process President Obama has largely held a slight lead, but it has been a close race all year.